If we want to prevent cuts we need to fund Muni.
Without additional funding Muni will be looking at severe service and program cuts. Below are potential cuts that were presented at the SF Controller’s Muni Funding Working Group. These were used to illustrate what can be cut if the funding isn’t addressed.
1. The Service Cuts
Suspension of routes = $63 Million
Suspension Cable Cars and F-Line = $33 Million
Reduction of frequencies up to 50% =
$71 Million
Owl services only from 9:00pm - 6:00am =
$14 Million
Total saved = $181 Million
This covers only 56% of
the total deficit of $322 Million
2. Past Cuts and Savings
SFMTA has done a lot to cut down on expenditures and costs, but this deficit cannot be solved by the agency alone. Below is an non-exhaustive list of the agency’s cuts and savings.
Reduced Personnel Costs = $90 Million
Reduced Non-Personnel Costs = $30 Million
June Service Cuts = $7.2 Million
Increased Fares = $5.2 Million
Transit Only Lanes = $3 Million
Total Saved >$131Million
3. Fare enforcement will not solve the deficit
Fare evasion has dropped 30% since last year, and SFMTA expects that they can only retrieve up to $5 million per year. This revenue excludes the cost it would take to hire new fare inspectors.
Projected Enforcement Revenue = $5 Million
Cost of new fare inspectors = $3-3.5 Million
Net Revenue ~$1.5-2 Million
4. What is causing the deficit
The pandemic has fundamentally changed travel patterns in the city, caused a massive +$800 million budget shortfall from San Francisco’s general fund, and brought on high inflation. As a result costs have risen while Muni receives less money from fares, parking, and the city itself.
Pre-pandemic vs Post Pandemic
Transit and Parking Revenue
Parking Revenue (FY 18/19)…….…………$282 Million
Parking Revenue (FY 24/25)…..….………$249 Million
Transit Revenue (FY 18/19)...…………….$197 Million
Transit Revenue (FY 24/25).….………….$108 Million
Total Difference.………..…..-$122 Million
“Adjusted for inflation SFMTA, revenues are $235 million… less than pre-pandemic.”
- Bree Mawhorter, SFMTA Chief Financial Officer
“15 years of General Fund revenue growth of 8% to 12% is replaced by projected 3% growth, dramatically decreasing revenue growth built into assumptions about SFMTA’s long-term financial health”
- Bree Mawhorter, SFMTA Chief Financial Officer
*ccsf = City and County of San Francisco
“Projected expenditure growth of 4% due to inflation and COLA exceeds projected revenue growth of 3%.”
- Bree Mawhorter, SFMTA Chief Financial Officer